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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu May 16 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of the Coast of Southwestern Mexico:
A small area of low pressure located several hundred miles offshore 
of the coast of southwestern Mexico is producing an area of 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of 
this system is possible during the next day or so while it moves 
little. By this weekend, the low is forecast to merge with another 
system to its east.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

2. South of the Coast of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles to 
the south of southern Mexico during the next day or two. Gradual 
development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could 
form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves 
slowly to the west or west-northwest, remaining south of the coast 
of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster Papin