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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT SAT AUG 14 1999
 
THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WHILE LOCATED
TO THE SOUTH OF A WEAKNESS IN THE EAST-WEST RIDGE ALONG 25 DEGREES
NORTH LATITUDE OR SO...AS DEPICTED IN THE 12Z AVIATION MODEL 500 MB
ANALYSIS AND FORECAST.  THE 18Z MODEL RUN WAS NOT AVAILABLE.  BASED
ON THE GUIDANCE...THE GENERAL MOTION OF 290/03 IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION IN A DAY OR TWO.

THE DEPRESSION IS LOOKING RATHER WEAK ON SATELLITE IMAGERY.  THE
ONLY DEEP CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED AND IS LOCATED OVER A SMALL
AREA TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER.  ALSO THE STABLE AIR OVER THE COOLER
SSTS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER IS BEING ENTRAINED INTO THE
DEPRESSION.  SINCE THE DEPRESSION IS BEING REDUCED TO A SWIRL OF LOW
CLOUDS...THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.

LAWRENCE
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     15/0300Z 15.6N 120.3W    25 KTS
12HR VT     15/1200Z 15.8N 121.2W    20 KTS DISSIPATING
24HR VT     16/0000Z 16.2N 122.4W    20 KTS DISSIPATING
36HR VT     16/1200Z 16.3N 123.7W    20 KTS DISSIPATING
48HR VT     17/0000Z DISSIPATED
 
 
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