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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT THU AUG 23 2001
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 355/14. TD S-X-E HAS TRACKED NORTH
OR NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS CHANGED
LITTLE. DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS DISPLACED TO THE NORTH SIDE OF THE
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OWING TO THE SOUTHERLY SHEAR ON THE CYCLONE.
THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND INTENSITY
FORECASTS OR REASONINGS. TD SIX-E IS EMBEDDED IN DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW
AND SHOULD TRACK NORTHWARD OVER COLDER WATER AND BEGIN DISSIPATING
IN 24 HOURS...IF NOT SOONER.
FORECASTER STEWART
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 23/0900Z 21.0N 136.7W 30 KTS
12HR VT 23/1800Z 22.6N 137.2W 30 KTS
24HR VT 24/0600Z 25.0N 137.4W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT 24/1800Z 27.7N 137.4W 20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 25/0600Z 30.4N 137.0W 20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED
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