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HURRICANE ADOLPH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0101
1500Z MON MAY 28 2001
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD TO LAZARO
CARDENAS.  INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DANGEROUS HURRICANE.  WATCHES AND/OR
WARNINGS MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE COAST LATER
TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 100.7W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......125NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 100.7W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/12Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 100.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.0N 101.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 15.7N 102.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.3N 103.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 100.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 17.0N 104.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 18.5N 106.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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