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TROPICAL STORM BARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SAT AUG 04 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT TUE AUG 7 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
29.2N 87.0W 51 1 X X 52 GULFPORT MS 11 11 1 X 23
31.2N 87.0W 23 10 1 X 34 BURAS LA 10 7 1 1 19
33.2N 87.8W 1 19 5 1 26 NEW ORLEANS LA 2 8 4 1 15
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 2 2 NEW IBERIA LA X 1 4 3 8
SAVANNAH GA X X 1 2 3 PORT ARTHUR TX X X 1 3 4
CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 GALVESTON TX X X X 2 2
CEDAR KEY FL X 1 1 1 3 GULF 29N 85W 18 2 X X 20
ST MARKS FL 7 7 X 1 15 GULF 29N 87W 56 X X X 56
APALACHICOLA FL 19 3 X X 22 GULF 28N 89W 22 X 1 X 23
PANAMA CITY FL 28 2 X X 30 GULF 28N 91W X 3 2 1 6
PENSACOLA FL 33 2 X 1 36 GULF 28N 93W X X 1 1 2
MOBILE AL 19 9 1 X 29
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM SUN TO 7AM MON
C FROM 7AM MON TO 7PM MON
D FROM 7PM MON TO 7PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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