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TROPICAL STORM BARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SUN AUG 05 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT WED AUG 8 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
30.2N 86.6W 38 1 X X 39 MOBILE AL 20 2 1 X 23
31.8N 87.1W 23 2 1 X 26 GULFPORT MS 11 4 2 2 19
32.9N 88.0W 10 10 1 2 23 BURAS LA 5 5 2 2 14
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 1 2 3 NEW ORLEANS LA 2 4 3 4 13
SAVANNAH GA X X X 3 3 NEW IBERIA LA X 1 2 5 8
CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 4 4
VENICE FL X X 1 1 2 GALVESTON TX X X X 3 3
TAMPA FL X 1 X 2 3 FREEPORT TX X X X 2 2
CEDAR KEY FL 2 1 1 2 6 GULF 29N 85W 27 X 1 X 28
ST MARKS FL 12 2 X 1 15 GULF 29N 87W 56 X X X 56
APALACHICOLA FL 25 X 1 X 26 GULF 28N 89W 5 4 1 1 11
PANAMA CITY FL 33 X X X 33 GULF 28N 91W X 1 1 4 6
PENSACOLA FL 33 1 X X 34 GULF 28N 93W X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM MON TO 1PM MON
C FROM 1PM MON TO 1AM TUE
D FROM 1AM TUE TO 1AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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