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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT AUG 18 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST TUE AUG 21 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
17.0N 80.0W 46 X X X 46 MHNJ 165N 859W X 4 9 2 15
18.0N 82.5W 4 28 X X 32 MNPC 141N 834W X 2 1 1 4
19.5N 85.0W X 8 18 1 27 MMFR 185N 926W X X X 3 3
MKJP 179N 768W 33 X X X 33 MMMD 210N 897W X X 2 14 16
MKJS 185N 779W 28 X X X 28 MARATHON FL X X 1 1 2
MWCG 193N 814W 4 24 1 X 29 KEY WEST FL X X 2 2 4
MUCF 221N 805W X 3 4 X 7 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 2 2
MUSN 216N 826W X 6 12 1 19 BURAS LA X X X 2 2
MUHA 230N 824W X 1 8 2 11 GULF 29N 87W X X X 2 2
MUAN 219N 850W X 1 17 4 22 GULF 28N 89W X X X 5 5
MMCZ 205N 869W X X 16 6 22 GULF 28N 91W X X X 4 4
MZBZ 175N 883W X X 5 7 12 GULF 28N 93W X X X 2 2
MGPB 157N 886W X X 1 3 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
C FROM 8PM SUN TO 8AM MON
D FROM 8AM MON TO 8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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