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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT SEP 22 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST TUE SEP 25 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
31.0N 68.5W 41 X X X 41 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 8 8
32.5N 69.0W 15 7 1 X 23 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 8 8
35.0N 69.0W X 4 9 3 16 NANTUCKET MA X X X 8 8
BERMUDA 1 4 5 2 12 HYANNIS MA X X X 8 8
WILMINGTON NC X X 1 2 3 BOSTON MA X X X 7 7
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 3 3 6 PORTLAND ME X X X 5 5
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 5 3 8 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 4 4
NORFOLK VA X X 2 5 7 EASTPORT ME X X X 3 3
OCEAN CITY MD X X 1 8 9 ST JOHN NB X X X 2 2
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 1 7 8 YARMOUTH NS X X X 3 3
NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 8 8
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
C FROM 8PM SUN TO 8AM MON
D FROM 8AM MON TO 8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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