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TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SAT SEP 22 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST TUE SEP 25 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
32.1N 68.9W 41 X X X 41 NANTUCKET MA X X X 10 10
33.9N 69.1W 12 10 1 1 24 HYANNIS MA X X X 9 9
36.0N 68.5W X 7 7 3 17 BOSTON MA X X X 8 8
BERMUDA 2 4 3 2 11 PORTLAND ME X X X 7 7
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 2 1 3 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 6 6
CAPE HATTERAS NC X 1 3 2 6 EASTPORT ME X X X 6 6
NORFOLK VA X X 2 3 5 ST JOHN NB X X X 5 5
OCEAN CITY MD X X 2 5 7 MONCTON NB X X X 3 3
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 1 6 7 YARMOUTH NS X X X 7 7
NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 7 7 HALIFAX NS X X X 4 4
MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 9 9 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 3 3
PROVIDENCE RI X X X 9 9 EDDY POINT NS X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM SUN TO 8AM MON
C FROM 8AM MON TO 8PM MON
D FROM 8PM MON TO 8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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