ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM JERRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN OCT 07 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JERRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST WED OCT 10 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
13.2N 64.0W 54 1 X X 55 TJPS 180N 666W X 3 7 1 11
14.0N 67.1W X 35 X X 35 MDSD 185N 697W X X 8 7 15
14.7N 69.6W X 8 18 X 26 MDCB 176N 714W X X 8 12 20
SKPG 125N 717W X X 7 5 12 MTPP 186N 724W X X 1 15 16
TNCC 122N 690W X 7 6 1 14 MTCA 183N 738W X X X 16 16
SVMG 110N 640W 9 1 X X 10 MKJP 179N 768W X X X 11 11
TTPP 106N 614W 10 X X X 10 MKJS 185N 779W X X X 7 7
TTPT 112N 608W 48 X X X 48 MUGM 200N 751W X X X 10 10
TGPY 120N 618W 67 X X X 67 MUCM 214N 779W X X X 2 2
TBPB 131N 595W 89 X X X 89 TJSJ 184N 661W X 2 4 1 7
TVSV 131N 612W 82 X X X 82 MDPP 198N 707W X X 1 9 10
TLPL 138N 610W 69 X X X 69 MBJT 215N 712W X X X 4 4
TFFF 146N 610W 33 X X X 33 MYMM 224N 730W X X X 2 2
TDPR 153N 614W 14 X X X 14 ST CROIX VI X 5 2 X 7
TFFR 163N 615W 2 X X X 2 ST THOMAS VI X 2 2 X 4
TKPK 173N 627W 1 1 X X 2 SAN JUAN PR X 2 4 1 7
TISX 177N 648W X 5 2 X 7 PONCE PR X 3 7 1 11
TIST 183N 650W X 2 2 X 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM MON TO 8PM MON
C FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE
D FROM 8AM TUE TO 8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER JARVINEN
NNNN
Problems?