ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KAREN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT TUE OCT 16 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
41.0N 62.5W 23 1 X X 24 SABLE ISLAND NS 1 13 3 X 17
43.5N 61.0W 2 15 1 X 18 SYDNEY NS X 8 6 1 15
46.0N 59.0W X 7 6 2 15 EDDY POINT NS X 12 3 1 16
BAR HARBOR ME X 2 1 1 4 PTX BASQUES NFLD X 3 8 3 14
EASTPORT ME 1 4 1 1 7 BURGEO NFLD X 1 9 3 13
ST JOHN NB X 7 2 1 10 ILE ST PIERRE X 1 7 4 12
MONCTON NB X 8 3 1 12 CAPE RACE NFLD X X 3 6 9
YARMOUTH NS 3 7 X 1 11 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X X 4 4
HALIFAX NS 1 13 1 1 16
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
C FROM 8PM SUN TO 8AM MON
D FROM 8AM MON TO 8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER JARVINEN
NNNN
Problems?