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HURRICANE KAREN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT TUE OCT 16 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
39.7N 64.4W 34 X X X 34 EASTPORT ME X 4 5 4 13
40.9N 64.2W 18 3 1 X 22 ST JOHN NB X 3 5 4 12
42.0N 64.0W 8 6 2 2 18 MONCTON NB X 1 4 6 11
NEW YORK CITY NY X X 1 1 2 YARMOUTH NS 1 7 4 3 15
MONTAUK POINT NY X 2 2 1 5 HALIFAX NS X 4 4 4 12
PROVIDENCE RI X 3 2 2 7 SABLE ISLAND NS X 1 3 5 9
NANTUCKET MA 1 5 3 1 10 SYDNEY NS X X 1 6 7
HYANNIS MA 1 5 2 2 10 EDDY POINT NS X 1 2 6 9
BOSTON MA X 4 2 2 8 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 4 4
PORTLAND ME X 4 3 3 10 BURGEO NFLD X X X 3 3
BAR HARBOR ME X 5 4 3 12 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
C FROM 2AM MON TO 2PM MON
D FROM 2PM MON TO 2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER JARVINEN
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