Tropical Depression ELEVEN-E
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112004
2100Z MON AUG 30 2004
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 103.9W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 103.9W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 103.6W
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 13.0N 104.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 13.9N 106.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 14.8N 108.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 16.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 20.5N 119.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 22.0N 123.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 103.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z
FORECASTER BERG/LAWRENCE
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