Hurricane JAVIER
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HURRICANE JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132004
1500Z FRI SEP 17 2004
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JAVIER.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 112.3W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 112.3W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 112.1W
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.8N 113.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 24.4N 113.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 26.4N 114.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 29.5N 114.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 38.0N 112.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 112.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN
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