Hurricane JAVIER
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HURRICANE JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132004
2100Z FRI SEP 17 2004
AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO PUNTA
ENGENIA.
AT 2 PM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA ENGENIA TO SAN JOSE
DE LAS PALOMAS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 112.7W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 112.7W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 112.5W
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 23.0N 113.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 24.6N 114.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 27.0N 114.1W...NEAR BAJA COASTLINE
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 30.0N 114.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 37.0N 112.5W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 112.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN
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