Tropical Storm LESTER
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TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152004
0900Z WED OCT 13 2004
AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING WESTWARD TO LAZARO CARDENAS. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO
FROM PUNTA MALDONADO WESTWARD TO LAZARO CARDENAS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 100.6W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 25NE 45SE 45SW 25NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 100.6W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 100.3W
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 17.1N 101.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
34 KT... 30NE 45SE 45SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.2N 102.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.2N 103.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 45NE 60SE 60SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.2N 104.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.5N 106.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 18.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 19.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 100.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
FORECASTER BEVEN
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