Hurricane FRANCES
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HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI AUG 27 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST MON AUG 30 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
17.0N 52.1W 50 X X X 50 TFFR 163N 615W X X X 3 3
18.0N 53.6W 24 9 1 X 34 TAPA 171N 618W X X X 4 4
18.9N 55.2W 1 20 5 1 27 TKPK 173N 627W X X X 3 3
TDPR 153N 614W X X X 2 2 TNCM 181N 631W X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT
C FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN
D FROM 8AM SUN TO 8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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