Hurricane FRANCES
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HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON AUG 30 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST THU SEP 2 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.9N 63.5W 50 X X X 50 MDPP 198N 707W X 1 11 4 16
20.6N 66.2W 5 29 X X 34 MBJT 215N 712W X X 14 7 21
21.5N 68.8W X 10 16 1 27 MYMM 224N 730W X X 4 15 19
TKPK 173N 627W 2 1 X X 3 MYSM 241N 745W X X X 18 18
TNCM 181N 631W 16 2 X X 18 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 14 14
TISX 177N 648W 3 7 X X 10 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 10 10
TIST 183N 650W 8 10 X X 18 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 10 10
TJPS 180N 666W X 10 2 X 12 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 6 6
MDSD 185N 697W X 1 8 2 11 ST CROIX VI 3 7 X X 10
MDCB 176N 714W X X 1 3 4 ST THOMAS VI 8 10 X X 18
MTPP 186N 724W X X 2 5 7 SAN JUAN PR 2 14 1 X 17
MTCA 183N 738W X X X 4 4 PONCE PR X 10 2 X 12
MUGM 200N 751W X X X 7 7 MIAMI FL X X X 3 3
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 4 4 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 3 3
TJSJ 184N 661W 2 14 1 X 17 FT PIERCE FL X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM TUE TO 8PM TUE
C FROM 8PM TUE TO 8AM WED
D FROM 8AM WED TO 8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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