Hurricane FRANCES
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HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED SEP 01 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST SAT SEP 4 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
23.2N 72.9W 46 X X X 46 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 1 14 15
24.3N 74.8W 15 18 X X 33 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 12 12
25.5N 76.6W X 20 7 1 28 SAVANNAH GA X X X 8 8
MUCM 214N 779W X 1 1 3 5 CHARLESTON SC X X X 6 6
MUCF 221N 805W X X 1 4 5 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 4 4
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 4 4 WILMINGTON NC X X X 2 2
MBJT 215N 712W 49 X X X 49 KEY WEST FL X X 2 8 10
MYMM 224N 730W 41 X X X 41 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 3 11 14
MYSM 241N 745W 23 12 X X 35 FT MYERS FL X X 2 12 14
MYEG 235N 758W 7 18 1 X 26 VENICE FL X X 1 12 13
MYAK 241N 776W X 13 7 1 21 TAMPA FL X X X 13 13
MYNN 251N 775W X 13 10 2 25 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 11 11
MYGF 266N 787W X 1 17 4 22 ST MARKS FL X X X 7 7
MARATHON FL X X 4 8 12 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 5 5
MIAMI FL X X 9 8 17 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 4 4
W PALM BEACH FL X X 9 10 19 GULF 29N 85W X X X 6 6
FT PIERCE FL X X 7 11 18 GULF 29N 87W X X X 2 2
COCOA BEACH FL X X 3 14 17
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU
C FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
D FROM 2AM FRI TO 2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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