Hurricane FRANCES
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HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST WED SEP 01 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST SAT SEP 4 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
24.7N 75.6W 46 X X X 46 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 9 10 19
25.8N 77.3W 17 15 X 1 33 JACKSONVILLE FL X X 2 14 16
26.6N 78.5W 1 23 2 1 27 SAVANNAH GA X X X 12 12
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 2 2 CHARLESTON SC X X X 9 9
MUCF 221N 805W X X 1 3 4 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 5 5
MUHA 230N 824W X X 1 4 5 WILMINGTON NC X X X 3 3
MBJT 215N 712W 99 X X X 99 KEY WEST FL X 1 5 5 11
MYMM 224N 730W 99 X X X 99 MARCO ISLAND FL X 2 8 6 16
MYSM 241N 745W 60 X X X 60 FT MYERS FL X 1 9 7 17
MYEG 235N 758W 36 X X X 36 VENICE FL X X 7 9 16
MYAK 241N 776W 20 4 X 1 25 TAMPA FL X X 6 11 17
MYNN 251N 775W 22 9 X X 31 CEDAR KEY FL X X 2 13 15
MYGF 266N 787W 1 22 2 2 27 ST MARKS FL X X X 11 11
MARATHON FL X 4 5 5 14 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 10 10
MIAMI FL X 11 6 3 20 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 8 8
W PALM BEACH FL X 11 8 3 22 PENSACOLA FL X X X 3 3
FT PIERCE FL X 5 12 5 22 GULF 29N 85W X X X 10 10
COCOA BEACH FL X 2 13 6 21 GULF 29N 87W X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
C FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
D FROM 8PM FRI TO 8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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