Hurricane FRANCES
ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER 47
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN SEP 05 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT WED SEP 8 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
29.0N 83.9W 49 X X X 49 TAMPA FL 64 X X X 64
30.3N 85.2W 22 10 X 1 33 CEDAR KEY FL 61 X X X 61
32.0N 86.0W X 19 4 1 24 ST MARKS FL 37 2 X X 39
W PALM BEACH FL 99 X X X 99 APALACHICOLA FL 33 3 X X 36
FT PIERCE FL 99 X X X 99 PANAMA CITY FL 19 11 X 1 31
COCOA BEACH FL 99 X X X 99 PENSACOLA FL 1 17 2 1 21
DAYTONA BEACH FL 53 X X X 53 MOBILE AL X 9 6 1 16
JACKSONVILLE FL 25 X X 1 26 GULFPORT MS X 4 6 2 12
SAVANNAH GA 1 6 4 3 14 BURAS LA X 2 3 1 6
CHARLESTON SC X 1 3 6 10 NEW ORLEANS LA X 1 3 1 5
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 1 6 7 NEW IBERIA LA X X 1 1 2
WILMINGTON NC X X X 5 5 GULF 29N 85W 35 X X X 35
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 87W 3 13 1 X 17
FT MYERS FL 4 X X X 4 GULF 28N 89W X 1 1 1 3
VENICE FL 32 X 1 X 33
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM MON TO 8PM MON
C FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE
D FROM 8AM TUE TO 8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
NNNN