Hurricane IVAN
ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE IVAN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED SEP 08 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST SAT SEP 11 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
15.5N 72.5W 46 X X X 46 MDPP 198N 707W X 2 X X 2
17.0N 74.7W 4 29 X X 33 MYMM 224N 730W X X 2 2 4
18.5N 77.0W X 11 17 X 28 MYSM 241N 745W X X 1 3 4
SKPG 125N 717W 2 X X X 2 MYEG 235N 758W X X 3 7 10
TNCC 122N 690W 2 X X X 2 MYAK 241N 776W X X 2 10 12
MDSD 185N 697W 1 1 X X 2 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 8 8
MDCB 176N 714W 16 6 X 1 23 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 5 5
MTPP 186N 724W 2 17 1 X 20 MARATHON FL X X X 11 11
MTCA 183N 738W 1 27 1 X 29 MIAMI FL X X X 8 8
MKJP 179N 768W X 16 12 1 29 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 6 6
MKJS 185N 779W X 4 20 1 25 FT PIERCE FL X X X 4 4
MWCG 193N 814W X X 3 13 16 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 2 2
MUGM 200N 751W X 10 13 1 24 KEY WEST FL X X X 11 11
MUCM 214N 779W X X 15 6 21 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 7 7
MUCF 221N 805W X X 3 15 18 FT MYERS FL X X X 6 6
MUSN 216N 826W X X X 13 13 VENICE FL X X X 4 4
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 13 13 TAMPA FL X X X 2 2
MUAN 219N 850W X X X 6 6
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
C FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
D FROM 2PM FRI TO 2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
NNNN