Tropical Storm MATTHEW
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TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT FRI OCT 08 2004
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT MON OCT 11 2004
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
25.3N 91.1W 41 1 X X 42 TAMPA FL X X 2 5 7
26.3N 89.2W 11 11 2 X 24 CEDAR KEY FL X X 2 7 9
28.0N 87.5W X 7 9 2 18 ST MARKS FL X X 4 7 11
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 2 2 APALACHICOLA FL X X 6 7 13
MUAN 219N 850W X X 2 1 3 PANAMA CITY FL X X 7 7 14
MMCZ 205N 869W X X 2 1 3 PENSACOLA FL X 1 8 5 14
MMMD 210N 897W X 3 2 X 5 MOBILE AL X 1 8 5 14
MARATHON FL X X X 2 2 GULFPORT MS X 2 9 3 14
MIAMI FL X X X 2 2 BURAS LA X 7 7 3 17
W PALM BEACH FL X X X 2 2 NEW ORLEANS LA X 4 7 3 14
FT PIERCE FL X X X 3 3 NEW IBERIA LA X 3 6 2 11
COCOA BEACH FL X X X 4 4 PORT ARTHUR TX X 1 2 3 6
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 5 5 GALVESTON TX X 1 1 2 4
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 1 6 7 FREEPORT TX X 1 1 1 3
SAVANNAH GA X X X 6 6 GULF 29N 85W X X 7 6 13
CHARLESTON SC X X X 4 4 GULF 29N 87W X 3 10 3 16
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 89W 1 13 4 2 20
WILMINGTON NC X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 91W 3 13 2 1 19
KEY WEST FL X X 1 1 2 GULF 28N 93W 2 9 1 2 14
MARCO ISLAND FL X X 1 3 4 GULF 28N 95W X 2 2 1 5
FT MYERS FL X X 1 4 5 GULF 27N 96W X 1 1 1 3
VENICE FL X X 2 4 6 GULF 25N 96W 4 1 X 1 6
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1PM SAT TO 1AM SUN
C FROM 1AM SUN TO 1PM SUN
D FROM 1PM SUN TO 1PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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