Hurricane FLORENCE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
2100 UTC MON SEP 11 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 50(57) 2(59) X(59)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 1(21) X(21)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 37(39) 22(61) X(61) X(61)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 14(23) X(23) X(23)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 31(36) 8(44) X(44) X(44)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12)
ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 4(22) X(22) X(22)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X 3( 3) 38(41) 9(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BERMUDA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 362N 638W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 362N 638W 50 79 8(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
12 362N 638W 64 40 11(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
24 387N 619W 34 54 40(94) 3(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
24 387N 619W 50 1 50(51) 9(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
24 387N 619W 64 X 19(19) 6(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
36 420N 585W 34 X 15(15) 65(80) 6(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
36 420N 585W 50 X X( X) 33(33) 9(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
36 420N 585W 64 X X( X) 12(12) 5(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
48 452N 548W 34 X X( X) 14(14) 46(60) 11(71) X(71) X(71)
48 452N 548W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 8(29) X(29) X(29)
48 452N 548W 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10)
72 490N 420W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 38(38) 9(47) X(47)
72 490N 420W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 5(16) X(16)
72 490N 420W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
96 510N 250W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) X(24)
96 510N 250W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6)
96 510N 250W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 70 65 65 60 55 50 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH
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