Tropical Storm GORDON
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
0300 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 7(15) 2(17)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 230N 587W 34 56 19(75) 1(76) 1(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78)
12 230N 587W 50 36 18(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
12 230N 587W 64 5 5(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
24 245N 595W 34 3 58(61) 13(74) 4(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79)
24 245N 595W 50 1 38(39) 12(51) 2(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54)
24 245N 595W 64 X 13(13) 9(22) 1(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24)
36 260N 600W 34 X 20(20) 40(60) 10(70) 6(76) 1(77) X(77)
36 260N 600W 50 X 7( 7) 30(37) 8(45) 3(48) 1(49) X(49)
36 260N 600W 64 X 2( 2) 16(18) 6(24) 2(26) 1(27) X(27)
48 276N 600W 34 X 3( 3) 30(33) 24(57) 11(68) 3(71) X(71)
48 276N 600W 50 X X( X) 12(12) 18(30) 8(38) 2(40) X(40)
48 276N 600W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 5(20) 1(21) X(21)
72 300N 595W 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 18(24) 27(51) 8(59) 2(61)
72 300N 595W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 16(24) 6(30) 2(32)
72 300N 595W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 3(15) X(15)
96 330N 575W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 19(39) 8(47)
96 330N 575W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 3(20)
96 330N 575W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8)
120 370N 520W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 15(24)
120 370N 520W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)
120 370N 520W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 55 65 75 75 75 70 65
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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