Hurricane GORDON
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
1500 UTC WED SEP 13 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 274N 574W 34 97 1(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 274N 574W 50 80 8(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
12 274N 574W 64 55 13(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
24 292N 566W 34 20 68(88) 6(94) X(94) X(94) 1(95) X(95)
24 292N 566W 50 3 58(61) 9(70) 1(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72)
24 292N 566W 64 1 35(36) 11(47) 1(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49)
36 308N 555W 34 2 37(39) 37(76) 7(83) 4(87) X(87) X(87)
36 308N 555W 50 X 10(10) 37(47) 8(55) 3(58) 1(59) X(59)
36 308N 555W 64 X 3( 3) 23(26) 6(32) 1(33) 1(34) X(34)
48 321N 545W 34 X 8( 8) 40(48) 19(67) 8(75) 2(77) 1(78)
48 321N 545W 50 X 1( 1) 19(20) 17(37) 6(43) 2(45) X(45)
48 321N 545W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 12(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23)
72 340N 525W 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 21(30) 24(54) 6(60) 2(62)
72 340N 525W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 16(25) 4(29) 1(30)
72 340N 525W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 3(14) X(14)
96 365N 500W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18(22) 15(37) 4(41)
96 365N 500W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 8(15) 2(17)
96 365N 500W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
120 400N 440W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 10(19)
120 400N 440W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
120 400N 440W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 90 90 85 80 70 60 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN
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