Hurricane GORDON
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
2100 UTC WED SEP 13 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 285N 570W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 285N 570W 50 86 7(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
12 285N 570W 64 59 13(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)
24 302N 559W 34 25 65(90) 4(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
24 302N 559W 50 4 61(65) 9(74) 1(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76)
24 302N 559W 64 1 38(39) 12(51) X(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52)
36 315N 547W 34 2 47(49) 29(78) 6(84) 4(88) X(88) X(88)
36 315N 547W 50 X 15(15) 36(51) 8(59) 3(62) 1(63) X(63)
36 315N 547W 64 X 5( 5) 23(28) 6(34) 1(35) 1(36) X(36)
48 325N 537W 34 X 14(14) 44(58) 14(72) 7(79) 2(81) X(81)
48 325N 537W 50 X 2( 2) 24(26) 16(42) 6(48) 2(50) X(50)
48 325N 537W 64 X X( X) 11(11) 11(22) 4(26) X(26) 1(27)
72 340N 520W 34 X 1( 1) 18(19) 22(41) 18(59) 6(65) 1(66)
72 340N 520W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 14(29) 4(33) 1(34)
72 340N 520W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 9(14) 1(15) 1(16)
96 370N 480W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 19(33) 6(39)
96 370N 480W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 3(15)
96 370N 480W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
120 415N 405W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 11(16)
120 415N 405W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
120 415N 405W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 100 95 90 85 70 60 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN
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