Tropical Storm FABIO
ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FABIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072006
2100 UTC TUE AUG 01 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FABIO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 152N 1293W 34 76 8(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
12 152N 1293W 50 16 8(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
12 152N 1293W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 157N 1320W 34 1 51(52) 9(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
24 157N 1320W 50 X 14(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
24 157N 1320W 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 161N 1347W 34 X 4( 4) 28(32) 8(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41)
36 161N 1347W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
36 161N 1347W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 162N 1374W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 19(24) 6(30) X(30) X(30)
48 162N 1374W 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
48 162N 1374W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 165N 1425W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 3(14) X(14)
72 165N 1425W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
72 165N 1425W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 165N 1475W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
96 165N 1475W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 165N 1475W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 165N 1525W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
120 165N 1525W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 165N 1525W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 50 45 45 35 30 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH
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