Hurricane ILEANA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102006
0300 UTC THU AUG 24 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA SOCORRO 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ISLA CLARION 34 41 4(45) 2(47) 1(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49)
ISLA CLARION 50 7 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 201N 1149W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 201N 1149W 50 88 5(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
12 201N 1149W 64 57 14(71) X(71) X(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72)
24 207N 1163W 34 51 37(88) 5(93) X(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94)
24 207N 1163W 50 10 54(64) 4(68) 2(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
24 207N 1163W 64 2 34(36) 7(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
36 212N 1174W 34 6 53(59) 16(75) 4(79) 1(80) X(80) 1(81)
36 212N 1174W 50 1 23(24) 20(44) 3(47) 2(49) X(49) X(49)
36 212N 1174W 64 X 8( 8) 14(22) 2(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
48 216N 1184W 34 2 23(25) 26(51) 8(59) 5(64) 1(65) X(65)
48 216N 1184W 50 X 5( 5) 16(21) 7(28) 3(31) X(31) X(31)
48 216N 1184W 64 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13)
72 220N 1200W 34 X 5( 5) 14(19) 13(32) 7(39) 2(41) X(41)
72 220N 1200W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12)
72 220N 1200W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
96 225N 1215W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 8(20) 2(22) X(22)
96 225N 1215W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
96 225N 1215W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
120 225N 1235W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9)
120 225N 1235W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
120 225N 1235W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 110 100 80 70 50 35 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART
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