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TROPICAL STORM NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172017
2100 UTC SUN SEP 17 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LOS BARRILES TO TODOS SANTOS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 111.1W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 111.1W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 110.9W
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.5N 111.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 21.8N 112.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 22.1N 113.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 22.3N 114.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 22.8N 115.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 23.6N 114.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 111.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
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FORECASTER LANDSEA
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