ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM PILAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182017
0300 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWARD TO EL
ROBLITO... INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 105.3W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 105.3W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 105.3W
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 19.3N 105.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 20.3N 105.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.1N 105.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 21.9N 105.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 23.3N 106.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 24.7N 107.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 105.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
NNNN