ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GRACE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072021
1500 UTC MON AUG 16 2021
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
SOUTHERN COASTS OF THE PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GRANMA...LAS
TUNAS...AND CAMAGUEY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE SOUTHERN COASTS OF THE PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI
SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...AND MATANZAS...AS WELL AS ISLA DE LA
JUVENTUD.
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GRANMA...
LAS TUNAS...AND CAMAGUEY
* CAYMAN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI
* JAMAICA
* SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI
SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...AND MATANZAS...AS WELL AS ISLA DE LA
JUVENTUD.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GRACE. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR
WARNINGS ARE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 71.4W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 71.4W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 70.8W
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.2N 73.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.8N 76.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.4N 79.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 0SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.1N 82.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 0SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 20.9N 85.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 40SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 21.6N 88.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 40SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 22.5N 94.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 23.0N 98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 71.4W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 16/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
NNNN