NHC Graphical Outlook Archive
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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT THU OCT 20 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE LITTLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...WITH A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED BETWEEN THE EASTERN TIP OF HONDURAS AND JAMAICA. ALTHOUGH SURFACE PRESSURES ARE NOT FALLING AT THIS TIME...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITION ARE FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE LITTLE AND HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER AVILA NNNN
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