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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat Jun 24 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Off the Southwestern Coast of Mexico:
An elongated trough of low pressure located several hundred miles 
south of the southwestern coast of Mexico continues to produce a 
broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for development of this system, and a 
tropical depression is expected to form during the early to middle 
part of next week as it moves generally west-northwestward, 
parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form early next week several 
hundred miles south of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southern Mexico. 
Some gradual development of this system is possible thereafter, and 
a tropical depression could form during the middle to latter part 
of next week while it moves slowly west-northwestward, remaining 
offshore of the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Kelly/Blake




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