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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Jun 26 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Off the Southern and Southwestern Coast of Mexico (EP91):
Showers and thunderstorms are beginning to show some signs of 
organization in association with an area of low pressure located 
several hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico. 
Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for development 
of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during 
the middle part of this week as the system moves slowly 
west-northwestward, parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico and Central America:
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of 
the coasts of Guatemala and El Salvador is producing an area of 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development 
of this system is possible during the next several days, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form during the middle to latter 
part of this week while it moves slowly west-northwestward to 
northwestward, roughly parallel to the southern and southwestern 
coasts of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Bucci/Brown