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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Jul 7 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 
pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of 
Manzanillo, Mexico, are gradually becoming better organized.  
However, satellite imagery suggests that the circulation of the 
low is elongated and lacks a well-defined center at this time.  
Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for 
additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to 
form within the next day or so while the disturbance moves 
generally west-northwestward, away from the coast of mainland 
Mexico.  Additional information on this system, including gale 
warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National 
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A trough of low pressure located well south-southeast of 
southeastern Mexico is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
conducive for gradual development during the next several days,
and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week.  The 
system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward parallel 
to, but well offshore, of the coast of southern Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php 

Forecaster Brown




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List of East Pacific Outlooks (July 2014 - April 2023)
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