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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Jul 8 2023
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a large area
of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico. While this system has changed little in
organization during the last several hours, any increase in
organization would lead to the development of a tropical depression
tonight or on Sunday. By Monday, the system is expected to move
west-northwestward into a less favorable environment well west of
the coast of mainland Mexico. Additional information on this
system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
2. Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A trough of low pressure a few hundred miles south of southern
Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual
development during the next several days, and a tropical depression
is likely to form during the early to middle portions of next week.
The system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward,
remaining well offshore of the coast of southern and southwestern
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php
Forecaster Beven