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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Jul 9 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized around the broad low 
several hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.  Any 
increase in organization of the thunderstorms could still lead to 
the development of a short-lived tropical depression today. By 
tonight, however, the system is expected to move west-northwestward 
into a less favorable environment well west of the coast of mainland 
Mexico. Additional information on this system, including gale 
warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National 
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Offshore of Southern Mexico:
A trough of low pressure a few hundred miles south of southern 
Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual 
development during the next several days, and a tropical depression 
is likely to form during the middle of the week. The system is 
expected to move westward to west-northwestward, remaining well 
offshore of the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php 

Forecaster Kelly/Cangialosi




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