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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Thu Aug 10 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Central East Pacific (EP98):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located 
several hundred miles south-southwest of the coast of southwestern 
Mexico have become a little better organized since yesterday. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of 
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this 
weekend or early next week while it moves generally westward at 
about 15 mph across the central portion of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Western East Pacific: 
Another tropical wave located well to the southwest of the southern 
tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing some disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is 
possible during the next several days while it moves westward at 10 
to 15 mph across the far western portion of the basin and into the 
Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

3. Off the Coast of Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of Central 
America in a few days. Environmental conditions are expected to be 
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical 
depression could form during the early or middle part of next week 
while it moves generally west-northwestward, roughly parallel to the 
coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Pasch