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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Aug 14 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Fernanda, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. Off the Coast of Southern and Southwestern Mexico (EP90):
A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is 
producing widespread showers and thunderstorms off the southern 
coasts of Mexico, Guatemala, and El Salvador.  Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical 
depression is expected to form within the next two days or so, while 
the system moves west-northwestward, roughly parallel to the coast 
of southern and southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form south of the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec over the weekend. Some gradual development of this 
system is possible thereafter while it moves generally westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Kelly/Berg