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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Oct 1 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of Southwestern Mexico:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south of the coast of 
southern and southwestern Mexico continues to produce a large area 
of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected 
to be conducive for development of this system during the next 
several days, and a tropical depression is expected to form during 
the middle part of this week while it moves west-northwestward to 
northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. South of Central America:
A broad area of low pressure could form a few hundred miles south of 
the coast of Central America during the middle to latter part of 
this week. Thereafter, some gradual development of this system is 
possible while it moves slowly westward to west-northwestward. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Reinhart