ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Oct 5 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Lidia, located several hundred miles southwest of the 
southwestern coast of Mexico.

1. South of Southern Mexico:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located well 
south-southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is associated with a 
trough of low pressure.  Environmental conditions are expected to 
be conducive for gradual development during the next several days, 
and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early 
next week while the disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Western East Pacific:
An elongated area of low pressure located about 1200 miles southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to 
produce intermittent burst of convection.  Any development of this 
system would be slow to occur while it moves little during the next 
couple of days.  By this weekend, environmental conditions are 
forecast to become less conducive for further development. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Kelly