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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Oct 5 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Lidia, located several hundred miles south of the southern 
tip of Baja California.

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP99):
An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located south of 
the Gulf of Tehuantepec is associated with a trough of low 
pressure.  Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for 
gradual development during the next several days, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while 
the disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Western East Pacific:
An elongated area of low pressure located about 1200 miles southwest 
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing 
limited shower activity.  Development of this system is no longer 
anticipated while it drifts generally westward over the western part 
of the East Pacific during the next few days.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

Forecaster Roberts